Help · members
Q&A
Capped strategy seats, own-bank staking, Strategies modelled track records, and honest limits — what we do, what we don’t, and what we cannot guarantee.
06 · Q&A
Risk, regulation & fairness
Is this regulated investment advice?
No. This is a strategy-seat membership. The founder previously worked as an IFA (including as a St. James’s Place partner) for over fifteen years and is no longer a financial adviser. Nothing on this site is personalised investment advice.
Can you guarantee returns?
No. We cannot guarantee returns, profits, or the survival of your Working Bank. An edge that existed in the data can weaken, vanish, or reverse. We limit how much can be staked per seat on each runner (£100 stake cap). If too much money piles onto one horse compared with the rest of the field, the starting price (the odds) tends to shorten — and returns for everyone at the table get worse. Nobody benefits if that happens, including people who try to stake more than the seat allows. We recommend a qualifier and a suggested stake based on what the member has told us they want. They are under no obligation to place a stake, to use the suggested stake, or to take that qualifying runner. Fees and the Internal Working Bank still follow the recommended path as though they had. Commission, exchange rules, and your own discipline all matter. Published tracks assume stated rules (start bank, stake %, cap, daily review, BSP after commission, success fee on the Internal Working Bank path). Your live experience can be better or worse.
What do the five-year stress tests mean?
We model and review strategies over five standalone years ending on the same settled cut-off as the public window (locked when the Strategies cache is rebuilt — dates are not cherry-picked for the chart window). For each year we look at: overall return or loss from a £5,000 start; whether the year was profitable; and whether the path would have burned the whole Working Bank in that year (bust). Those cards are a join-timing stress test — each year resets the model bank — not how a live seat is run. investorbet does not reset your Working Bank every year; a continuous seat from the start of the oldest window compounds differently (shown under the stress summary on Strategies and in the brochures). We look for strategies that were profitable in at least four years out of five under those stress tests, and we pay attention to years that were ugly even when the long run looked fine. The strategy we choose to publish is deliberate. The calendar windows we show are systematic, not hand-picked for flattery. On Strategies (and in each strategy brochure) we show, under stated assumptions: (1) a graph of the modelled Working Bank over the latest published window (typically about the last year); (2) month-by-month returns in that window so you can judge volatility; and (3) a five-year stress summary — five separate one-year blocks, each starting fresh at the model bank (usually £5,000), showing what that year would have returned or lost after fees and commission under the model. Those figures are historical stress tests of how the pattern behaved — not a promise for the next five years from launch.
What if I have a long losing run?
Long losing runs happen. Twenty losses in a row — or forty — can occur in real exchange sequences. Each loss chips the Working Bank; the bank only reaches zero after that sequence exhausts it under your stake size. In some stress-test years a path can still finish massively profitable after a brutal sequence; in others you can crash out or end the year down. A bad week does not prove the seat is “broken,” and a good week does not prove it is “safe.” We cannot reliably tell you, mid-path, that a seat is underperforming in a way that means you should quit — or that you should double down. One or two large-priced results can turn a period around; one or two disasters can wreck a period that looked fine. We can’t tell if a strategy table is doing well or not until it actually hits the point when you say “Wow, I’ve got enough from this now,” or “Damn, I’ve had enough of this now.” That call is yours — not a green/red light we can switch on for you at an arbitrary date after you take a seat. Judging a probabilistic process from a short sample is how people abandon a method at the worst moment, or cling to one that has already failed its own stress criteria. Use the published stress cards and volatility tables; do not invent certainty from last Tuesday.
How do I know if my strategy table is doing well?
We can’t tell if a strategy table is doing well or not until it actually hits the point when you say “Wow, I’ve got enough from this now,” or “Damn, I’ve had enough of this now.” That call is yours — not a green/red light we can switch on for you at an arbitrary date after you take a seat. We publish stress tests and month-by-month volatility so you can see the shape of the past path — not so we can declare success or failure for you mid-seat.
Gambling harm — where can I get help?
Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. In the UK visit BeGambleAware.org or call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133. 18+ only. What is at risk on each qualifier is the stake you put on (and any liability if you lay). More losers than winners means those stakes are lost — that is how exchange trading works, not a special failure mode. A modelled £5,000 Working Bank is not wiped by one £100 (or capped) stake; it is reduced stake by stake. The £50 collar floors the stake up when the plan would trade smaller — it does not end the path. A long enough losing streak — especially if you overstake or ignore the published plan — can still take the bank to zero. %-of-bank staking with a stake cap is there to make wipe-out a long sequence, not a single stake. If you top up, resize, or hold multiple seats, more capital can be exposed. It might be suitable as a small part of a portfolio. If you lost the whole Working Bank you put at this table, it should sting, not ruin your future plans, housing, retirement, or family obligations. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
